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Tropics 9-12-14

(WGNO) – An area of low pressure over southwest Florida continues to move towards the Gulf of Mexico.

But there is good news.

WGNO meteorologist Jeff Robbins says the disturbance has a 20 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next 48 hours, and a 30% chance over the next 5 days as the wind shear may be less.

“The good news is that  a cold front that will slip down overnight Friday and into the Gulf should keep it well away from New Orleans,” Robbins explains.

Tropical storm Edouard is swimming in the middle of the Atlantic, heading northwest. It is gaining strength and is forecast to become a category one hurricane by Monday. The good news there is Edouard is not forecast to hit any land.

There is a third disturbance south of the Cape Verde Islands (off the Coast of Africa). It has only a 20% chance of development. It is moving west or WNW at 10 mph. It is too soon to tell what will happen with this area.

And finally, a fourth disturbance popped up Friday over the southwestern part of the Gulf of Mexico. The system should move in to eastern Mexico late Friday or Saturday. Regardless of its development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to spread over portions of eastern Mexico this weekend.